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Gold and Platinum are providing fresh entry points
Sunday, April 29, 2007
Gold is within a mere 7% of a new 26-year high. Rise in Asian currencies are undermining short term performance of Bullion, but the current juncture is creating a new entry point into Gold and Platinum.
The culprit is the growing recognition that the U.S. dollar is weak at the knees and heading down the tubes. That in turn is causing inflation to rev higher … and other natural resources to climb virtually non-stop.
I have absolutely no doubt that you will soon see record new highs in gold, above $875 an ounce. Oil too will soon soar to record new highs. Trading at about $65 a barrel, black gold is a mere $12 or so away from a record high. Naturally, gas prices are soaring too.
But today I want to talk about one natural resource that almost no one is covering. A forgotten metal that is well on its way to new all-time record highs …
Platinum: A Scarce Metal That's in Hot Demand!
Platinum is among the world's rarest metals. New mine production totals about five million troy ounces a year. Compare that to gold, where mines produce approximately 82 million ounces a year, or silver, which is produced at an annual rate of approximately 547 million ounces.
Most platinum comes from
That's new mine supply. In terms of total platinum reserves in the ground, it's estimated that there are only about 3.5 billion ounces left. Plus, more than 50% of the platinum produced is destroyed in industrial applications.
Meanwhile, readily-available, above-ground platinum reserves have been practically wiped out! That's because demand for platinum has been soaring. Back in 1975, demand was about 2.6 billion ounces a year. Today, it's virtually tripled to seven billion ounces. In the last 10 years, demand has exceeded mine supply by nearly 8.3 million ounces.
Stricter Emissions Laws, and Emerging Economies Creating Huge Demand for More Platinum
About half of all platinum goes to the automobile industry for use in catalytic converters, which reduce the toxicity of emissions from engines.
Never mind that the
Look at
In March,
By 2010,
And don't forget,
In
This natural built-in and growing demand for platinum — in the face of severely limited supplies — is a major reason why platinum prices are exploding higher. And in my opinion, the price of platinum could double over the next couple of years from a current $1,300-an-ounce level to $2,500 an ounce, if not higher.
New clean air legislation in the
The global warming issue, and attempts by authorities around the world to cut down on pollution, will have a major effect on the way cars are produced.
The new, more stringent Tier II environmental regulations involve a greater number of countries than ever before. Countries that a decade ago had little or no environmental regulation will soon have restrictions on auto and motorbike emissions.
Moreover, much of the rest of the world, unlike
In short, I see no end in sight for rising platinum prices. Except for a brief speed bump or two, I think prices are headed much, much higher.
New Ways to Play Platinum Are Just Around the Corner
Unfortunately, right now there is no mutual fund that I am aware of that concentrates enough on the platinum metals or companies to make them pure plays on the metal.
But soon enough, there will be a relatively easy way to get in on the platinum market. That's because two new exchange-traded funds concentrating on platinum will soon be launched by ETF Securities and Zurich Cantonal Bank.
The actual start of trading is not yet known, but rest assured, I will keep you posted.
In the meantime, consider two of my favorite metals funds, the Tocqueville Gold Fund (TGLDX) and the U.S. Global Investors Gold Shares Fund (USERX). Both are doing extremely well, rising 11% and 7%, respectively, in the past six weeks.
Everything I have been warning you about is coming to pass. The dollar is ill … inflation is soaring … and natural resource prices are climbing skyward.